幂函数递减模型的建立、对比与应用
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陈元千(1933—),男,河南兰考人,教授级高级工程师,1952年考入清华大学石油工程系,1956年毕业于北京石油学院钻采系, 长期从事油气藏工程、油气田开发和油气储量评价工作。联系电话:(010)83595952,E-mail:525980269@qq.com。

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Establishment,comparison and application of power function decline model
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    Arps基于矿场油井产量递减数据的统计分析和理论研究,提出了指数、双曲线和调和三种经典的递减模型,受到世人的高度重视,至今被广泛地应用于全球油气工业的产量和可采储量的评价。应当指出,Arps的指数递减是递减率为常数且产量递减较快的一种递减模型。由于其预测的指标比较稳妥,被上市评估公司普遍采用。Arps的双曲线递减和调和递减是两种产量递减较慢的模型,在实际中应用得并不多。陈元千等于2015年建立的线性递减模型,仅适用于产量随时间呈直线下降,而且递减率随时间的增加而增加。本文建立的幂函数递减模型,它的递减率随时间的增加而降低。根据Arps提出的递减指数n 划分的不同递减模型:n=-1时为线性递减,n=0时为指数递减,0

    Abstract:

    Based on statistical analysis and theoretical research on the declining production data of oilfield oil wells,Arps proposed three classical decline models of exponential,hyperbolic and harmonic,which have been highly valued by the world and have been widely used in the evaluation of global oil and gas industry production and recoverable reserves. It should be noted that the Arps exponential decline is a decline model in which the decline rate is constant and the production is declining faster. Because the predicted indicators are relatively stable,it is widely adopted by evaluation companies.The hyperbolic and harmonic declines of Arps are two models with slower decrement,which are not widely used in practice.The linear decline model established by Chen Yuanqian et al.in 2015 is only applicable to the linear decline of production over time,and the decline rate increases with time. The power function decline model is established in this paper,and its decline rate decreases with time. According to the decline exponent n proposed by Arps:linear decline model n=-1,exponential decline model n=0,hyperbolic decline model 0

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陈元千,傅礼兵.幂函数递减模型的建立、对比与应用[J].油气地质与采收率,2019,26(6):87~91

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-12-26
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