雷达图法在油气勘探成效综合评价中的应用
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刘辉(1982—),男,四川资阳人,工程师,硕士,从事油气勘探规划和综合地质研究工作。E-mail:liuh2008@petrochina.com.cn。

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Application of radar chart method in comprehensive evaluation on hydrocarbon exploration effectiveness
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    摘要:

    勘探成效综合评价是勘探管理与决策分析中的重要组成部分。目前常用的勘探成效评价指标和方式单一,不能真正反映勘探成效的实际情况。找出影响勘探成效综合评价的关键指标,创建合理的评价模型,为勘探成效综合评价提供一种行之有效的评价手段至关重要。为此,分析了影响勘探成效的关键因素,创建了由5 大类9 小类指标组成的油气勘探成效综合评价体系,形成了基于熵权法和改进雷达图法的勘探成效综合评价模型。指标体系和评价模型相结合,形成了以改进雷达图法为核心的油气勘探成效定量评价方法。运用该方法,对不同时间段、不同气藏类型、不同勘探领域的勘探成效进行综合评价。结果表明:①总体上具有随时间的推移勘探成效呈现变好的趋势。②气藏类型中,复合气藏勘探成效较优,纯岩性、构造气藏总体较差。③勘探领域中,震旦系—下古生界勘探成效最优,雷口坡组+嘉陵江组、石炭系勘探成效较差。评价结果与勘探实际情况较为一致,可对勘探成效作出客观的评价。

    Abstract:

    Comprehensive evaluation on exploration effectiveness is important in exploration management and decision-making analysis.However,the commonly used evaluation indicators and methods are dull and cannot fully reflect the actual exploration effectiveness.Thus,it is essential to find out the key indicators affecting the comprehensive evaluation,build a reasonable evaluation model,and provide some effective methods to comprehensively evaluate exploration effectiveness. In this study,the key factors affecting exploration effectiveness were analyzed,and a comprehensive evaluation system for hydrocarbon exploration effectiveness was established,containing five categories and nine sub-indicators. A comprehensive evaluation model based on the entropy weight method and improved radar chart method was hereby put forward. Moreover,the combination of the indicator system and the evaluation model constituted a quantitative approach to evaluating the hydrocarbon exploration effectiveness with the improved radar chart method as the core. This method can be used to evaluate the effectiveness at various exploration periods,in different exploration domains,as well as of different types of gas reservoirs in a comprehensive manner. The results show that①the exploration effectiveness becomes higher as time goes on;②for gas reservoir types,the exploration effectiveness of compound reservoirs is superior while that of pure lithological and structural reservoirs is poor;③for exploration domains,the exploration effectiveness in the Sinian Lower Paleozoic registers the best,whereas it is relatively poor in Leikoupo and Jialingjiang Formations and the Carboniferous. In general,the evaluated results are consistent with the actual exploration,which means the proposed method can make an objective evaluation of the comprehensive exploration effectiveness.

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刘辉,战薇芸,刘鑫,吴雪峰,李龙,叶茂.雷达图法在油气勘探成效综合评价中的应用[J].油气地质与采收率,2023,30(4):77~85

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-08-02
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