Assessment method for remaining oil recoverable potential in ultrahigh water-cut reservoirs based on projection pursuit model
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摘要:
影响特高含水油藏剩余油可采潜力的因素极其复杂,且各因素的影响程度差异明显,常规方法多以剩余油饱和度或剩余油储量丰度等单一指标评价剩余油潜力,难以有效指导特高含水油藏剩余油挖潜。在充分考虑特高含水油藏剩余油可采潜力影响因素的基础上,综合表征储层非均质性、剩余油可采储量规模、水淹状况以及油水分流能力的差异,构建了特高含水油藏剩余油可采潜力量化评价指标体系,并考虑不同指标对剩余油可采潜力控制程度的差异,将加速遗传算法与投影寻踪模型相结合来确定各评价指标的客观权重,从而构建了剩余油可采潜力指数,形成特高含水油藏剩余油可采潜力量化评价新方法。以渤海Q油田南区主力产层N mIL砂体为例,开展特高含水油藏剩余油可采潜力量化评价,结果表明,新方法可综合表征不同区域位置的储层物性、可采储量丰度和油水分流能力对剩余油可采潜力的影响,实现了主力产层N mIL 砂体剩余油可采潜力分布的差异化定量评价,优势可采潜力区域刻画明显,将其作为N mIL砂体下一步井网加密调整潜力区域,以精准指导加密水平井的部署,为特高含水油藏剩余油挖潜提供了一种全新的分析方法与思路。
Abstract:
The factors affecting the remaining oil recoverable potential in ultra-high water-cut reservoirs are extremely complex, exhibiting substantial variations in their impact. Conventional methods often rely on singular indicators such as remaining oil saturation or remaining oil abundance to assess remaining oil recoverable potential, which fails to guide tapping remaining oil in ultrahigh water-cut reservoirs effectively. By considering the factors affecting the remaining oil recoverable potential in these reservoirs and comprehensively characterizing the heterogeneity of reservoirs,the scale of remaining oil reserves,watered conditions,and oil/water flow capacity,we constructed a quantitative assessment indicator system to tap the remaining oil recoverable potential in ultrahigh water-cut reservoirs. In addition, according to the control degree difference of the indicators on remaining oil recoverable potential, we determined the objective weights of each evaluation indicator by combining the accelerated genetic algorithm and the projection pursuit model. We constructed the remaining oil recoverable potential index to form a new quantitative assessment method of the remaining oil recoverable potential in ultra-high water-cut reservoirs. Taking the N mIL sand body of the main production layer in the south area of Bohai Q Oilfield as an example, we quantitatively assessed the remaining oil recoverable potential in ultra-high water-cut reservoirs. The results reveal that the new method can comprehensively characterize the effects of reservoir physical properties, remaining oil reserves, and dynamic characteristics of oil/water flow on the remaining oil recoverable potential in different locations and realize the differential quantitative assessment of the distribution of remaining oil recoverable potential in N mIL sand body of the main production layer. In addition, the dominant recoverable potential area is clearly characterized,and it is taken as the potential area for the subsequent adjustment of infill wells in the N mIL sand body to accurately guide the deployment of infill horizontal wells, thereby offering a novel perspective for tapping remaining oil resources in such reservoirs.