基于 CCUS-EOR技术的陆相页岩油藏绿色开采经济与环境效益优化模型
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陈上(2004—),男,山东济南人,从事能源经济、环境经济、数字经济等研究。E-mail:202227230324@stu.sdnu.edu.cn。

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Optimization model of economic and environmental benefits for green development of continental shale oil reservoirs based on CCUS-EOR
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    摘要:

    为了实现陆相页岩油藏开采过程中经济与环境效益的综合提升,以全生命周期理论为基础,构建基于二氧化碳捕集、利用与封存-提高石油采收率(CCUS-EOR)技术的页岩油藏绿色开采经济与环境效益优化模型,该模型包括环境效益核算模型、经济效益核算模型、经济与环境综合效益核算及敏感性分析、优化方案设置4部分。环境效益核算涵盖CO2、PM、SO2等污染物排放的货币化评估;经济效益核算为基于现金流量法考量运营成本;通过局部敏感分析识别关键因素,为优化方案提供明确的方向;采用定性与定量相结合、情景分析等方法,从采收率、碳价、管理及政策等维度设置多种情景方案,对比不同方案下的经济与环境效益,确定最优开采方案。经模型核算与分析,发现 CCUS-EOR技术对环境效益的提升作用显著高于经济效益。以胜利油田为例,吨页岩油开采的环境效益为-148.44 元,内部经济效益为 239.56 元,经济与环境综合效益为 91.12 元。敏感性分析表明,产油收入影响最为显著,其次为材料费、危废处理等。根据敏感性分析得到的部分优化方案效果突出。模型具有广泛推广价值,可应用于CCUS-EOR+非常规油藏和化学驱+低渗透油藏等一系列油气田开发。

    Abstract:

    To enhance the economic and environmental benefits of continental shale oil reservoir exploitation,this study,based on the whole life-cycle theory,built a green exploitation optimization model for economic and environmental benefits based on carbon dioxide capture,utilization,and storage-enhanced oil recovery(CCUS-EOR)technology. This model consists of four parts:the environmental benefit accounting model,economic benefit accounting model,comprehensive benefit accounting and sensitivity analysis,and optimization schemes. The environmental benefit accounting covers the monetization of emissions of CO2,PM,SO2,etc. The economic benefit accounting uses the cash flow method to evaluate operational costs. Local sensitivity analysis identifies key factors for targeted optimization schemes. The research combined qualitative and quantitative methods with scenario analysis. It designed various scenarios from recovery rate,carbon price,management,and policy perspectives. By comparing economic and environmental benefits across different schemes,the optimal exploitation strategy was determined. The model results show that CCUS-EOR technology significantly improves environmental benefits over economic ones. In a studied oilfield,the environmental benefit per ton of shale oil is -148.44 yuan,and the economic benefit is 239.56 yuan;the comprehensive benefit is 91.12 yuan. Sensitivity analysis shows that oil production revenue is the most impactful factor,followed by material costs and hazardous waste treatment. Some optimization schemes from the sensitivity analysis show significant effects. The model is highly applicable to oil and gas field development,such as CCUS-EOR+unconventional reservoirs and chemical flooding + low-permeability oil reservoirs.

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陈 上,杜佳林,杜远鹤,刘业业.基于 CCUS-EOR技术的陆相页岩油藏绿色开采经济与环境效益优化模型[J].油气地质与采收率,2025,32(4):104~115

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  • 收稿日期:2025-02-17
  • 最后修改日期:2025-05-23
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-20
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