Leakage risk assessment of geological CO2 storage system
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    Abstract:

    Geological CO2 storage has been thought of as an important technical means for alleviating the greenhouse effect,and the leakage risk assessment of the storage system is the basis of safe storage. In this study,the influencing factors in the leakage of the geological CO2 storage system were comprehensively analyzed. It is believed that the leakage risk is mainly induced by the alternating stress on the wellbore and caprock produced by cryogenic fluids of CO2 and the integrity failure of the wellbore and caprock caused by the comprehensive action of CO2-water and rock corrosion reactions. Hence,the multi-factor influence on the leakage of the geological CO2 storage system was taken into account. Then,the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE)theory was used to construct a model for the hierarchical relationships between factors leading to CO2 leakage risks,and the model was employed to assess the leakage risks of the geological CO2 storage system. Specifically,the nonlinear normal membership function was applied to construct the membership matrix of the influencing factors with regard to comments. The analytic hierarchy process(AHP)was used to construct the comparison matrices between the influencing factors to obtain the weight subset of these influencing factors. In addition,a geological CO2 storage system was taken as an example for leakage risk assessment. It is concluded that the wellbore for geological CO2 storage faces a low risk of leakage while the cap rock and the storage system have a moderate leakage risk. Moreover,the leakage risk of the geological CO2 storage system can be dynamically tracked upon the collection of the changes of influencing factors in the process of CO2 storage for the update of the fuzzy calculation model.

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ZHANG Zhichao, BAI Mingxing, GAO Shuo, ZHANG Wei, ZHANG Liying, DU Siyu. Leakage risk assessment of geological CO2 storage system[J]. Petroleum Geology and Recovery Efficiency,2023,30(2):135~143

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  • Received:
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  • Online: May 10,2023
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